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Monday, 10 December 2007

Reliance Power's Rs 8,000-cr IPO may be postponed

Reliance Power may be forced to push its initial public offering (IPO) to early next year, as the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) is still grappling with the fine print of the red herring prospectus.


Billed to become one of the biggest IPOs in recent times, the Reliance Power issue has evinced interest among investors in the power sector, even as it triggered apprehensions in some quarters on the pricing.

Sources in the group were emphatic that the Rs 8,000 crore issue will hit the primary markets, but it's the timing they are not sure of, as SEBI is going through the details with a fine-tooth comb.

"Even if we obtain all the approvals now, we'll avoid doing road shows in the fag end of December. It's a wrong time to approach foreign institutional investors, as their fund managers normally go on Christmas holidays during that time," a source said.

For the Reliance Power IPO to be a success, the response from foreign investors will be critical.

Reliance Power is owned a little over 50 per cent by Reliance Energy, with the balance by R-ADA group's investment firms.

A clue to the postponement of the issue came when Reliance Energy promoters decided to infuse about Rs 8,000 crore in the company, through a preferential issue to the promoters and major institutional shareholders.

The infusion, to be done through warrants within a span of two years, will see the balance sheet of Reliance Energy "increase substantially," a recent report by broking firm Tower Capital & Securities said.

As REL's net worth reaches Rs 20,000 crore, post the 2009 dilution, Tower Capital said the company can give Reliance Energy "appropriate cushion" to manage an order book of Rs 1,00,000 crore.

However, analysts say that the Rs 8,000 crore infusion will only facilitate its infrastructure businesses that include metro rail, road projects, townships etc.

All the power-generating businesses have been shuffled into Reliance Power.

HOT STOCKS for 11-12-07

STATISTICS :

Nifty has a strong support @ 5925 levels, can see nifty strong with 6040 + levels, once it crosses this level with strong volumes can see nifty trading to 6150+ levels.

DELIVERY :

NIITTECH : buy @ 250 for a tgt of 300+ in a month

RPL : buy @ 226 for a tgt of 248+ in a month

INFOSYS : buy for a tgt of 2095+ in a month

FUTURES :

BHEL : buy for a tgt of 2705+ , sl @ 2650

TTML : buy for a tgt of 63+, sl @57.5

EDUCOMP : buy for a tgt of 4100+, sl @ 3960

RELIANCE : buy for a tgt of 2860+

OPTIONS :

SATYAM : buy call 440 below 20 for a tgt of 26+, sl @ 16

RCOM : buy call 740 for a tgt of 44+, sl @ 24

HINDALCO : buy call 200 for a tgt of 12+,sl @ 5

Buy Now Sell Tommorow Calls - BNST for Tuesday 11-12-07

DELIVERY :

INDIABULLS FINANCIALS : buy now @ 840 for a tgt of 862+ , sl @ 832

RELIANCE : buy now @ 2823 for a tgt of 2850+ sl @ 2815

RPL : buy now @ 226 for a tgt of 232, can go to 240+ levels in a week

FUTURES :

RELIANCE : buy for a tgt of 2860+ levels, sl @ 2818

BHEL : buy @ below 2690 for a tgt of 2760+ , sl @ 2655

ZEEL : buy for a tgt of 304+ , sl @ 290

Nifty : buy now @ 5960 for a tgt of 6025+ , sl @ 5934

OPTIONS :

INFOSYS : buy call 1680 below 88 for a tgt of 115+ , sl @ 75

Sunday, 9 December 2007

Pre-IPO premiums zoom as punters play hard

MUMBAI: The Chinese stock market boom has driven cab drivers and gardeners in China to quit their regular jobs to turn into full-time punters. If the boom in the Indian IPO market sustains its current momentum, chances are more and more people would park their savings and divert cash from business to make quick money on listing.

Already, many small- and mid-sized companies are delaying payments to their suppliers to play the market. And, well before the IPO subscription forms are available, the game starts in the grey market, which has its own rules, pricing justification and trading structure.

IPO premiums in the grey market have been soaring as the market seems to believe that any banking or loan market crisis in the US can only lead to more money flowing into India, as rate cuts to bail out institutions will improve liquidity. What is also pushing up the premium is the record subscription numbers of recent offerings.

“IPO market is mainly buzzing because of the bullish sentiment in the secondary market,” says a Mumbai-based broker who tracks the IPO grey market on a daily basis. However, he also cautions that in cases where the issue has opened for subscription, a clutch of operators often put high bids to influence the grey market price.

Cities like Kolkata, Ahmedabad and Rajkot have the most active grey markets. This is an unofficial market where trading of shares in forthcoming IPOs is conducted. A premium or discount is the market’s estimate of how much the stock of a company is likely to soar (or dip) when they are traded on the day of listing.

For instance, Edelweiss Capital is currently trading at a premium of Rs 800 in the grey market, signalling that market participants expect the issue to list at a price upwards of Rs 1,600 (The price band for the issue is Rs 725-825).

Since Sebi does not allow shares to be transferred before the day of listing, trades done in the grey market are only settled on the day of listing. In fact, the grey market has become so vibrant that a few brokers in the above cities have taken to exclusively dealing in the grey market. These brokers, often work hand-in-hand with promoters and in the process also control the prices at which issues list.

A small dip in the interest rate has also helped. Earlier most banks had reached their limits of lending for investing in IPOs. With interest rates coming down, there are more takers for IPO financing. NBFC arms of several broking houses have also taken up lending in a big way, prompting investors to flock towards IPOs.

HOT STOCKS for 10-12-07

STATISTICS:

Nifty has a strong support @ 5950, can touch new highs this week due to fed meeting coming this week can have a positive impact in mkt, Nifty can move to levels 6150+, if once nifty trades firm above 6025 levels.

FUTURES :

IDEA : buy for a tgt of 141+ , sl @ 131

POWERGRID: buy for a tgt of 156. sl @ 148

RELIANCE : buy for a tgt of 2875+, sl @ 2832

ZEEL : buy for a tgt of 305+ , sl @ 294.5

INFOSYS : buy for a tgt of 1750+ , sl @ 1695

OPTIONS :

NIFTY : buy call 6000 for a tgt of 210+, sl @ 100

HINDALCO : buy call 200 for a tgt of 11+ , sl @ 5

RELIANCE : buy call 2900 for a tgt of 104+ , sl @ 75

INFOSYS : buy call 1680 for a tgt of 100+ , sl @ 55

Post ur doubts here


DISCLAIMER

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